Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AIOZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.325046 0.384632 0.451098 0.530595 0.622949 0.726712 0.851981
2024-10-27 0.244581 0.326112 0.427293 0.561429 0.733857 0.947252 1.230468
2024-11-03 0.181963 0.271377 0.393901 0.572398 0.823790 1.162839 1.651836
2024-11-10 0.145323 0.240232 0.382571 0.608282 0.952976 1.454185 2.230989
2024-11-17 0.113322 0.206470 0.358496 0.619247 1.048045 1.715412 2.818523
2024-11-24 0.085830 0.171690 0.323566 0.604035 1.098148 1.916846 3.351991
2024-12-01 0.061634 0.135218 0.276066 0.555490 1.081394 2.006153 3.719472
2024-12-08 0.049380 0.117739 0.258146 0.554938 1.146830 2.242771 4.372450
2024-12-15 0.038704 0.100143 0.235311 0.539065 1.179337 2.424356 4.954931
2024-12-22 0.029216 0.082076 0.206632 0.504026 1.165890 2.515727 5.381213
2024-12-29 0.024728 0.074685 0.199671 0.514172 1.247546 2.805267 6.236153
2025-01-05 0.020992 0.068014 0.192645 0.522384 1.326094 3.099874 7.143926
2025-01-12 0.018318 0.063767 0.191500 0.546966 1.452620 3.528975 8.427398
2025-01-19 0.015968 0.059728 0.190078 0.571357 1.585796 3.999303 9.884492
2025-01-26 0.013405 0.054028 0.182522 0.578055 1.677835 4.394187 11.241830
2025-02-02 0.011981 0.051683 0.184258 0.611445 1.846761 5.000626 13.187506
2025-02-09 0.010193 0.047242 0.178193 0.620741 1.953495 5.474130 14.891544
2025-02-16 0.008231 0.041187 0.164904 0.604482 1.985633 5.765590 16.195326
2025-02-23 0.006152 0.033520 0.143305 0.555340 1.910902 5.765210 16.760257
2025-03-02 0.005168 0.030255 0.136630 0.554449 1.982203 6.170893 18.449184
2025-03-09 0.004187 0.026443 0.126468 0.538391 2.002340 6.437824 19.806887
2025-03-16 0.003218 0.022074 0.112313 0.503280 1.952037 6.493791 20.591263
2025-03-23 0.002806 0.020578 0.110000 0.513343 2.058020 7.031789 22.828721